Defense Resource Planning Under Uncertainty
An Application of Robust Decision Making to Munitions Mix Planning
Robert J. Lempert
RAND Corporation, 2016
Defense planning faces significant uncertainties. This report applies robust decision making (RDM) to the air-delivered munitions mix challenge. RDM is quantitative, decision support methodology designed to inform decisions under conditions of deep uncertainty and complexity. This proof-of-concept demonstration suggests that RDM could help defense planners make plans more robust to a wide range of hard-to-predict futures.
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